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Red64
139113.5
201618.1
392913.5
Blue40
11687.4
259021.6
192310.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions36330102040506070806440

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2016
#11
18.11.4
15.717.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
2590
#22
21.60.3
16.316.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3929
#38
13.51.4
11.112.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.2
1923
#21
10.30.3
10.110.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1391
#17
13.51.4
8.610.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
1168
#36
7.40.3
7.27.5
Auto
Teleop
End