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Red6
13916.6
17912.4
31673.5
Blue18
22295.2
2243.8
2934.8
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15110520253035618

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1391
#28
6.60.6
5.65.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
2229
#26
5.20.6
2.63.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3167
#30
3.50.6
5.24.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
293
#22
4.80.6
4.75.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1791
#21
2.40.6
2.51.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
224
#11
3.80.6
3.74.3
Auto
Teleop
End