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Red33
21914.6
35713.0
36516.5
Blue27
14953.7
22511.8
4236.1
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2413010203040503327

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
365
#12
16.50.6
9.710.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
225
#6
11.80.8
7.88.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
357
#11
13.00.4
12.512.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.9
423
#18
6.11.2
3.74.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2191
#16
4.60.6
3.64.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
1495
#34
3.70.9
1.12.0
Auto
Teleop
End