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Red28
17912.2
22215.8
81611.6
Blue26
3045.7
43738.7
18073.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2315010304050602826

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
222
#8
15.80.5
8.18.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.1
4373
#20
8.70.5
6.06.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
816
#27
11.60.5
12.412.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
304
#36
5.70.9
5.86.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1791
#33
2.20.3
1.61.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
1807
#31
3.70.9
3.34.2
Auto
Teleop
End