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Red10
39551.1
1569.7
41502.7
Blue25
40275.8
2799.5
25445.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11130203040501025

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156
#28
9.70.1
5.35.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
279
#45
9.50.9
6.67.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4150
#22
2.70.1
2.72.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
5.80.9
2.83.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3955
#40
1.10.1
2.82.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
5.20.9
4.55.4
Auto
Teleop
End