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Red17
25445.2
1569.7
639.6
Blue5
40323.6
42892.3
35115.5
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2113051025303540175

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
156
#28
9.70.4
6.76.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
3511
#18
5.50.7
4.84.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
63
#8
9.60.4
8.78.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
4032
#42
3.60.7
2.61.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
5.20.4
6.25.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.8
4289
#39
2.30.7
5.64.9
Auto
Teleop
End