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Red10
20512.1
24282.4
35115.5
Blue23
35674.7
40316.7
30623.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1412051020251023

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3511
#18
5.50.3
5.14.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
4031
#19
6.70.9
4.75.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2428
#29
2.40.3
3.93.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
3567
#11
4.71.0
4.05.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2051
#21
2.10.3
4.34.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
3062
#33
3.70.9
2.33.3
Auto
Teleop
End