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Red49
42892.3
34929.1
261417.4
Blue0
40493.9
22529.9
1172.9
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14100203040490

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.42.9
8.211.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.5
9.90.9
5.64.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3492
#26
9.12.9
3.96.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
4049
#37
3.92.1
3.91.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4289
#39
2.33.2
2.35.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
117
#41
2.90.9
2.61.7
Auto
Teleop
End