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Red18
26269.7
39791.7
2963.7
Blue42
17612.6
40626.7
39969.2
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121451020253035401842

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9.70.4
8.58.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
176
#3
12.62.2
9.411.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
296
#26
3.70.5
2.53.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
9.22.2
3.86.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3979
#24
1.70.5
1.62.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.0
4062
#17
6.72.2
1.94.1
Auto
Teleop
End