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Red28
35311.6
37108.0
39908.4
Blue7
39833.4
35446.1
41672.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions81005152025287

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8.41.6
4.76.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
3544
#25
6.10.3
2.82.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
8.01.6
2.34.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
3983
#22
3.40.3
3.83.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3531
#14
1.61.6
1.53.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
4167
#18
2.30.3
3.43.2
Auto
Teleop
End