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Red22
39908.4
39892.2
35332.6
Blue18
33868.2
39694.9
2963.7
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions101305152025302218

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8.41.0
5.46.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
3386
#30
8.20.3
6.87.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3533
#11
2.61.0
2.73.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
3969
#28
4.90.5
4.04.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3989
#29
2.21.0
1.72.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
296
#26
3.70.5
1.82.3
Auto
Teleop
End