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Red6
35311.6
17612.6
39833.4
Blue37
39969.2
33868.2
259014.6
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18265101520303540637

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
176
#3
12.61.1
12.911.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
14.60.6
12.513.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3983
#22
3.41.0
3.62.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.8
9.20.9
6.37.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3531
#14
1.61.1
2.61.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.6
3386
#30
8.20.6
6.57.1
Auto
Teleop
End