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Red15
39814.2
39908.4
259014.6
Blue16
37108.0
33794.6
39751.6
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2615010203040501516

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.60.2
14.214.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
8.00.0
8.38.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
8.40.2
8.17.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.8
4.60.0
4.94.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3981
#32
4.20.2
4.24.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.6
3975
#15
1.60.0
1.91.9
Auto
Teleop
End