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Red14
300310.3
31735.8
31815.6
Blue22
37993.4
22914.1
736.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1615051020253035401422

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3003
#10
10.30.1
7.27.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
229
#4
14.10.5
9.29.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3173
#21
5.80.1
6.05.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
73
#29
6.10.5
4.85.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3181
#25
5.60.1
2.01.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.2
3799
#39
3.40.5
2.12.6
Auto
Teleop
End