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Red10
30445.3
31815.6
2508.6
Blue18
155912.7
14502.6
11269.1
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17171012141820221018

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
250
#24
8.60.5
8.57.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
1559
#27
12.70.1
11.010.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3181
#25
5.60.5
1.91.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.5
1126
#13
9.10.1
6.46.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3044
#14
5.30.5
5.95.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
1450
#38
2.60.1
2.11.9
Auto
Teleop
End