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Red50
39517.5
22914.1
31815.6
Blue36
300310.3
155912.7
301516.0
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1627010203040505036

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
229
#4
14.12.4
11.714.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
3015
#15
16.00.6
10.711.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3951
#20
7.52.4
3.66.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.2
1559
#27
12.70.6
10.611.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3181
#25
5.62.4
1.94.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
3003
#10
10.30.6
6.77.2
Auto
Teleop
End