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Red38
17654.5
19114.1
22286.8
Blue15
30445.3
23406.3
31735.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1918510152530353815

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
191
#7
14.11.3
11.713.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.8
2340
#34
6.30.2
5.95.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2228
#18
6.81.3
3.75.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
3173
#21
5.80.2
6.36.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1765
#41
4.51.3
3.85.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
3044
#14
5.30.2
5.85.6
Auto
Teleop
End