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Red3
36133.3
5785.5
14055.9
Blue13
21725.0
31735.8
22914.1
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1625010203040313

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1405
#37
5.90.8
6.96.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.2
229
#4
14.10.8
14.013.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
578
#19
5.50.8
5.34.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
3173
#21
5.80.8
6.15.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3613
#33
3.30.8
3.93.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
5.00.8
5.85.1
Auto
Teleop
End