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Red69
61024.6
3789.2
30446.9
Blue4
15596.6
150716.3
15180.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions41370206080100694

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
610
Unranked
24.61.4
23.725.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.3
1507
Unranked
16.31.7
23.021.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
378
Unranked
9.21.4
10.712.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
1559
Unranked
6.61.7
9.57.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3044
Unranked
6.91.4
6.57.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.1
1518
Unranked
0.81.7
4.73.0
Auto
Teleop
End