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Red3
15596.6
151113.3
731.6
Blue31
11266.1
5785.2
18818.0
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2632020406080100331

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1511
Unranked
13.31.1
13.512.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
188
Unranked
18.00.0
20.120.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1559
Unranked
6.61.1
7.76.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1126
Unranked
6.10.0
5.55.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
73
Unranked
1.61.1
4.02.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.6
578
Unranked
5.20.0
6.36.2
Auto
Teleop
End