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Red0
15180.8
31572.0
13346.9
Blue40
27917.4
41242.5
368315.6
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13220406080100040

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1334
Unranked
6.90.7
8.07.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 8.7
3683
Unranked
15.60.9
14.415.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3157
Unranked
2.00.7
2.82.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.4
2791
Unranked
7.40.9
5.26.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1518
Unranked
0.80.7
2.31.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
4124
Unranked
2.50.9
2.13.0
Auto
Teleop
End