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Red63
167820.5
97117.4
31895.0
Blue26
35988.2
325612.2
36697.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4028010205060706326

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.50.4
20.020.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.3
3256
#15
12.20.0
12.312.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
971
#3
17.40.4
17.017.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.3
3598
#37
8.20.0
8.28.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3189
#35
5.00.4
4.55.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
7.30.0
7.47.3
Auto
Teleop
End