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Red29
7517.6
11594.6
21415.6
Blue15
32506.8
30452.9
20352.6
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions17120102030402915

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
751
#12
7.60.9
7.28.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
3250
#11
6.80.2
5.86.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2141
#23
5.60.9
6.57.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
3045
#41
2.90.2
3.13.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1159
#32
4.60.8
4.04.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
2035
#27
2.60.2
3.13.3
Auto
Teleop
End