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Red20
167115.9
13889.4
39706.7
Blue45
36697.3
35988.2
325612.2
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322501020405060702045

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.90.2
15.815.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
3256
#15
12.20.5
11.211.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1388
#18
9.40.2
9.39.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
3598
#37
8.20.5
7.17.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
6.70.2
6.76.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
7.30.4
6.36.8
Auto
Teleop
End