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Red31
110211.4
40837.6
34595.6
Blue22
15533.9
26428.9
20599.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1310020304050603122

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.41.5
6.17.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.1
2059
#15
9.31.0
2.33.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4083
#19
7.61.5
2.33.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
2642
#34
8.91.0
4.85.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3459
#18
5.61.5
4.56.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
1553
#22
3.91.0
3.14.1
Auto
Teleop
End