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Red8
34595.6
39763.2
34310.7
Blue28
21872.8
34213.3
110211.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2125010304050828

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
343
#14
10.70.7
12.011.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
342
#1
13.30.1
14.414.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3459
#18Sur
5.61.1
6.05.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.8
11.40.2
7.67.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3976
#38
3.20.9
3.02.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2187
#42
2.80.2
3.23.4
Auto
Teleop
End