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Red20
1112.7
20599.3
29749.2
Blue15
31966.6
34213.3
39763.2
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252301020304050602015

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11
#16
12.70.3
11.511.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
342
#1
13.30.5
14.213.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2059
#15
9.30.5
5.44.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
3196
#10
6.60.8
7.76.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2974
#13
9.20.3
8.68.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
3976
#38
3.20.5
2.31.8
Auto
Teleop
End