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Red22
26428.9
35994.8
40745.0
Blue33
1112.7
42617.1
34904.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1317010203040502233

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2642
#34
8.90.7
6.87.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
11
#16
12.70.8
11.212.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4074
#40
5.00.7
3.64.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
7.11.3
3.75.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3599
#36
4.80.7
3.03.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
3490
#37
4.91.3
2.03.4
Auto
Teleop
End