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Red15
131911.3
34752.4
39763.2
Blue8
17584.9
31403.2
40754.3
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions131105152025303540158

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.30.1
8.58.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.4
1758
#33
4.90.2
5.25.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3976
#38
3.20.1
2.42.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
4075
#24
4.30.2
2.52.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3475
#39
2.40.2
1.82.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
3140
#29
3.20.2
3.33.1
Auto
Teleop
End