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Red31
13980.7
128712.5
29749.2
Blue10
34904.9
10515.2
40837.6
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1816051020253035403110

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.51.0
9.310.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
4083
#19
7.60.4
7.67.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2974
#13
9.20.7
7.98.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
1051
#31
5.20.4
4.54.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1398
#41
0.71.0
0.61.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
3490
#37
4.90.4
3.42.9
Auto
Teleop
End