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Red35
28157.4
128712.5
40737.2
Blue9
15396.9
17584.9
1112.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions232601020304050359

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
12.50.8
11.412.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
11
#16
12.70.8
13.012.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2815
#17
7.40.6
5.36.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
1539
#28
6.90.8
7.46.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4073
#11
7.20.8
5.76.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
1758
#33
4.91.0
5.54.4
Auto
Teleop
End