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Red22
13726.4
172611.1
25439.5
Blue9
38492.7
153813.9
33415.0
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions121501020304050229

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
11.10.9
5.66.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.8
1538
#15
13.90.6
10.69.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2543
#20
9.50.9
2.93.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
3341
#18
5.00.6
3.52.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1372
#29
6.40.9
2.23.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.7
3849
#24
2.70.6
2.61.9
Auto
Teleop
End