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Red10
43225.3
248510.4
41396.5
Blue20
41619.7
42766.6
28277.2
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13120510152025301020

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2485
#13
10.40.3
9.38.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
9.70.6
4.55.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4139
#44
6.50.3
1.91.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
7.20.6
4.24.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4322
#50
5.30.3
2.92.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
4276
#12
6.60.6
3.54.1
Auto
Teleop
End