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Red10
39672.5
25995.1
42766.6
Blue14
20295.4
32263.7
32557.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions88246101214161014

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4276
#12
6.60.2
4.14.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
3255
#19
7.80.5
3.13.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2599
#21
5.10.2
3.13.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2029
#42
5.40.5
2.83.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3967
#31
2.50.2
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
3226
#46
3.70.5
2.52.9
Auto
Teleop
End