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Red15
41173.8
248510.4
37043.1
Blue17
18362.2
30085.2
24969.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1317010203040501517

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2485
#13
10.40.1
8.88.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
9.50.1
9.29.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4117
#56
3.80.1
2.82.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
3008
#32
5.20.1
3.73.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3704
#28
3.10.1
2.82.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
1836
#34
2.20.1
2.62.8
Auto
Teleop
End