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Red4
34537.1
37492.5
41173.8
Blue10
32263.7
31283.5
36476.7
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1514051020253035410

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3453
#41
7.10.8
7.56.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
3647
#27
6.70.3
6.76.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4117
#56
3.80.8
4.13.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
3226
#46
3.70.3
4.13.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3749
#38
2.50.8
3.22.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
3128
#36
3.50.3
3.32.9
Auto
Teleop
End