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Red18
24969.5
25995.1
39658.8
Blue22
13726.4
21025.7
24933.6
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23120102030401822

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9.50.4
10.410.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
1372
#29
6.40.7
5.36.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3965
#17
8.80.4
7.26.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
2102
#14
5.70.8
4.24.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2599
#21
5.10.4
5.24.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.5
2493
#25
3.60.7
3.13.8
Auto
Teleop
End