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Red21
41173.8
32557.8
43225.3
Blue13
30212.9
15726.0
33415.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1314010203040502113

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3255
#19
7.80.6
5.25.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
1572
#39
6.00.1
6.26.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4322
#50
5.30.6
4.44.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
3341
#18
5.00.1
5.15.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4117
#56
3.80.6
3.23.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
3021
#54
2.90.1
3.02.9
Auto
Teleop
End