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Red18
1798.0
34812.2
41844.2
Blue23
21529.2
74415.5
43792.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2326010203040501823

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
348
#29
12.20.3
10.510.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.3
744
#9
15.50.1
15.615.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
179
#23
8.00.3
9.08.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
2152
#12
9.20.1
8.48.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4184
#41
4.20.5
4.23.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
4379
#24
2.40.2
1.81.5
Auto
Teleop
End