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Red40
1906.5
152317.4
40132.7
Blue21
1798.0
36277.2
31649.3
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions242301020304050604021

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
17.40.8
16.417.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.1
3164
#16
9.30.1
9.19.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
190
#21
6.50.8
5.05.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.5
179
#23
8.00.1
8.78.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4013
#39
2.70.8
2.63.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.5
3627
#40
7.20.1
5.15.0
Auto
Teleop
End