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Red16
41710.9
6048.6
153818.5
Blue19
30217.4
10726.7
7666.7
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions221401030401619

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.50.3
13.813.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.1
7.40.3
2.73.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
604
#14
8.60.3
7.06.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.9
766
#17
6.70.3
5.25.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4171
#45
0.90.5
1.40.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
1072
#16
6.70.3
5.86.0
Auto
Teleop
End