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Red12
8526.9
20356.4
26433.6
Blue10
41710.9
5813.2
21446.7
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16110520253035401210

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
852
#11
6.90.3
6.56.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2144
#22
6.70.1
6.46.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2035
#24
6.40.2
5.75.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
581
#28
3.20.1
3.73.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2643
#37
3.60.3
3.23.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
4171
#45
0.90.1
1.01.0
Auto
Teleop
End