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Red39
28545.3
41862.2
153818.5
Blue17
35013.5
23674.2
20739.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions221705101520253035403917

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
18.50.8
16.617.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.9
2073
#31
9.60.0
9.49.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2854
#26
5.30.8
4.55.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
2367
#38
4.20.0
4.24.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4186
#47
2.21.1
1.12.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.4
3501
#41
3.50.0
3.63.5
Auto
Teleop
End