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Red0
29522.9
36142.1
37434.9
Blue20
36963.1
34973.3
48814.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1013020304050020

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4.90.8
3.72.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 10.0
488
#1
14.90.6
8.08.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2952
#56Sur
2.90.8
3.32.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
3497
#23
3.30.6
3.03.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3614
#58
2.10.8
2.71.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
3696
#26Sur
3.10.6
2.22.8
Auto
Teleop
End