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Red6
18176.9
40001.1
23111.0
Blue4
29691.0
27215.6
30802.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions156010202530354064

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#4
11.00.8
8.17.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.3
2721
#48
5.60.2
3.43.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1817
#24
6.90.8
4.63.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.1
3080
#41
2.80.2
1.81.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4000
#29
1.10.8
2.41.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2969
#55
1.00.2
0.80.6
Auto
Teleop
End