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Red0
35455.6
29691.0
33660.4
Blue23
24689.8
30292.1
29820.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions710020406080100023

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3545
#19
5.60.6
2.21.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
9.81.1
4.25.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2969
#55
1.00.6
2.61.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
3029
#33
2.11.1
2.94.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3366
#59
0.40.6
3.02.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2982
#52
0.21.1
2.23.3
Auto
Teleop
End