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Red1
30282.8
30292.1
32402.5
Blue4
34973.3
34816.9
37434.9
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions111402030405014

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3028
#44
2.80.8
4.83.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
6.90.8
7.86.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3240
#30
2.50.8
2.61.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
4.90.8
2.82.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3029
#33
2.10.8
3.52.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
3497
#23
3.30.8
3.42.5
Auto
Teleop
End