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Red20
6531.3
34816.9
284810.4
Blue33
43323.3
18176.9
35825.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1710051520253035402033

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2848
#31
10.40.2
9.910.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.5
1817
#24
6.91.6
5.26.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
6.90.2
6.46.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
3582
#11
5.61.6
4.05.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
653
#28
1.30.2
1.61.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.0
4332
#51
3.31.7
1.63.3
Auto
Teleop
End