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Red53
205421.7
7014.8
36027.9
Blue39
5038.4
362010.2
295912.6
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4331010205060705339

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.70.2
21.421.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.1
2959
#11
12.60.1
12.412.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
70
#1
14.80.2
14.514.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
3620
#10
10.20.1
10.010.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3602
#28
7.90.2
7.77.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
503
#14
8.40.1
8.38.4
Auto
Teleop
End