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Red18
207512.6
12439.4
24512.9
Blue8
7014.8
34582.3
36027.9
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions261401020304050188

Skew-normal from the six robots' rating spreads, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#8
12.90.6
9.48.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
70
#1
14.80.3
9.59.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2075
#21
12.60.4
11.411.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
3602
#28
7.90.3
3.22.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
9.40.4
5.95.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.0
3458
#34
2.30.3
1.61.2
Auto
Teleop
End